allagash,
What I meant by the quote “People that buy with 100% LTV, interest only loans will not succeed” is that buying retail and borrowing 100% (interest only) of the money to do so will result in failure. Because we have had a real estate boom, every get rich quick wannabe is now buying real estate. Dozens, if not hundreds, of new “gurus” have emerged and they all are touting “NO MONEY DOWN” strategies. Why are they touting the no money and no credit needed strategies - because they are targeting low income people who are dreaming of sitting on a yacht sipping a tall drink (complete with little umbrella). Many, if not most, of these people are low income because they are LAZY and have no drive or determination to do better. (If you doubt this, become a landlord). They dream of being rich, but they NEVER will be rich or even middle class because they are too lazy. Instead of studying or working to improve in their abundant spare time, they spend their spare time drinking, smoking dope, watching their big screen TV, playing computer games, committing petty crimes, looting (if they’re from New Orleans) etc - anything but working. (sorry, not very politically correct to tell the truth, but I see it every day)
If you ask 100 people if they would like to be rich, probably 100 would say yes. If you ask the same 100 people if they would be willing to work 12 hours a day, six days a week for 5 years to be rich, probably 50 would SAY that they were willing to do that. If you watched the same 100 people to see what they would do, I’d bet that less that 5 of these people would actually be willing to do whatever is necessary to actually succeed.
Statistically, about 80% of new businesses fail or cease to operate within 5 years. Of those businesses that are still in business, only a small percentage will thrive. Real estate investing is no different than any other business and the same percentages will apply.
Back to the point. Almost all the courses that are out there contain good information. In fact, almost every course out there contains the same basic information. Nearly every book or course I’ve completed talks about buying at a discount, and yet there are many newbies that either didn’t do their homework or ignored that portion of their education and bought an investment at retail - because it was easy and didn’t require much work. Worse yet, they had no money, so they borrowed 100% of the purchase price (market value) AND borrowed it interest only. As the interest rate rises, so does their payment. Worse yet, their principle never decreases. They’re BETTING on appreciation. If the market softens at all, they’re stuck with a property they can’t sell without a big loss and they’re often losing money each and every month. That’s why they fail. It happens every day. How do I know - because I look at their houses when they are desperately trying to sell (although I usually can’t buy them until the foreclosure sale or after because they can’t bring enough money to the table to make it a good deal for me).
What it market value? I’d say that it is the average price that a given type of house is selling for. Some houses are sold for more than market value and others are sold below market value. If an investor can’t do the work necessary to find a property below market value, they just don’t have what is it takes to succeed.
Just my opinion - probably worth what you paid for it.
Mike