Hello again.
Thought I’d follow up here.
While I really don’t see the answers I was hoping for, I do see three ideas prevailing in these responses, which I’ll now address as not really giving me insight I need to continue on in the real estate business. Here they are:
- Buying right. Of course you need to buy right. However, buying property is not the same as cash flow. This is where many novice investors get messed up, because they listened to the Ron LeGrand’s and other guru’s out there who preach the false premise that buying real estate right is a sure profit. I buy real estate for fun and profit, not to have a portfolio of dead equity that’s not doing anything for me.
Cash flow comes from:
(a) Selling
(b) refinancing
(c) renting/leasing
Let me tell you there are plenty of people who are equity rich and cash poor out there. Just look at the elderly who live in free-and-clear houses who can’t make ends meet. I see it all the time.
Buying right <> cash flow. I can find “deals” with equity. Wholesalers call me with 45% ARV deals because they can’t find their own buyers to put in them.
Buying right = equity. Selling right = cash flow. Selling right now is the best solution.
The problem in this market is about putting people in your properties who can qualify to buy and can get financed. This is getting harder, not easier, with the ongoing credit crisis and lack of confidence in not only real estate market, but all the markets as we head towards recession.
- Refinance your equity out
Well, that was my modus operandi until the banks stopped doing cash out refi’s on NOO properties like mine. Even with great credit and big equity, I can’t get a loan on anything these days. In fact, I now have banks cutting off my existing equity lines of credit because they think the values of the property has dropped enough to put them in a risky position. My most recent purchase was an 80% cash out refi on a home I paid cash for. Now that the median price of homes in our area has dropped about 25% since 2007, do you think the banks are making these loans anymore? Let’s do the math–20% equity position after refi - 25% decline in prices = %5 collateral deficit. This is why banks are freezing home equity lines of credit and pulling back on cash out refi’s.
If anyone has a different experience or good source of inexpensive cash-out refinancing on NOO’s in FL please let me know. That’s the kind of answer I was hoping for.
- Renting.
No deal here in hyper inflated Florida. Besides I have no desire to landlord (been there/done that). $50/mo positive cash flow, even on two hundred properties is only $10,000/mo. I could make that working full-time without having to deal with all the hassles of property management and govt. red tape. My goal is to make 3 to 5 times that by buying and selling real estate. And while credit was available, I was able to do that.
Buying at $.30 on the dollar is not a deal if I end up with a property that I can’t sell for 12-24 months. During that time I have very high holding costs and very negative cash flow due to soaring taxes and insurance. I know you guys might think I could sell it at 70% of value and it would sell quickly . But I’m telling you that even the wholesalers around here are having difficulty moving stuff at those discounts. The problem is this credit crunch. No financing means no cash out, which means no cash flow.
No cash flow means no business = can’t pay bills = bankruptcy.
Bear Sterns, CountryWide and WAMU had plenty of “equity” on their books. They just couldn’t borrow on it to finance continuing operations until the markets turned. They are forced to either sell off assets to cover cash at ridiculous prices which kills their stop price or declare bankruptcy. Of course, they have the 3rd option of running to the Feds for bailouts–an option you and I don’t have.
So, thanks for the input. However, I’m still looking for better ideas on how to continue in this business today and still generate significant cash flow.
If anyone would like to contribute an better answer, I’m all ears.