6. Condo's close to any downtown area in any city of the country are selling. And who wouldn't want to be close to the strip
If you mean residents, plenty. I have lived here for 25 years and know this place like the back of my hand. The areas around the strip are your very low income, more transient areas. Of course those types are all over, but it is highly accented in that area. Could be a gold mine for those who specialize in the lower areas.
As for a tourist rental, sure. Anywhere close to the strip is very nice.
Most residents who can, move away from the strip. The keyword here is CAN. The area around the strip is very low income, high crime, drugs, gangs, etc. However, many residents gamble their money away, have crap jobs, and so forth and can only afford this type of housing. This is one reason why the SW has been so hot. It is away from the strip but still a manageable drive to work.
As to the 50% number. I agree this is somewhat high, but I do know it is much higher than 10%. Just got to be on the battlefield to see it. Still, numbers like this are hogwash anyway. Highly speculative.
We are pretty solid. The 6k a month figure is a time tested tradition. We probably have a couple K per month leaving though. Still 3-4k monthly is good. By 2008, we should hit 2 million residents–according to our latest prediction model.
As to employment, you have to look at job quality not quantity. Most of the jobs are min wage + tips and tip saturation grows with each new casino. The good thing is the city is somewhat working to increase real jobs in the area, which will be very good for the economy.
Another area that is growing is the new North Vegas. Starter homes there are being eaten up.
As to rents, I agree with specializing in low cost property and down by UNLV and the strip areas are where its at. There are a TON of low paying jobs in this city for people that require no skills or training. For example, you could walk right down to the old downtown (Where places like the El Cortez are) and get say a Keno job for $6 per hour + tips of about $8 per night. 40 week = $280ish.
Our city is working on curbing increasing property taxes now–another great thing about Vegas.
I can tell you that this is the best place in the world to invest. Personally, I stay away from the real bad areas. Condos might be a money maker and might not. Their appreciation is tied to the housing boom here and that has cooled of late. Looking over the past 6 months, appreciation here has returned to just slightly above normal.