The difference between a really successful motel/hotel operator and a failing one is the difference between an owner that’s an administrator and a master salesperson.
If you’re not a master salesperson, go to apartment buildings or something else. I was looking at hotels/motels in Niagara Falls decades ago. There were a lot of failed ones, boarded up ones and a lot of successful ones. I had the good fortune to have listened to a very successful owner of one. You know why he was so successful in Niagara Falls while others were mediocre or failures?
He was an amazing salesperson, not an administrator.
Listening to you talk about statistics and how to look at them carefully sounds like you’re an administrator or bean counter and if that’s what you are comfortable being don’t get into motels and hotels because the numbers are not just about running a business. It’s about sales.
By being an amazing salesperson, I don’t mean spending a lot of money placing ads in magazines. That could work, but that’s going to seriously chip away at your overhead.
What made him the money were the “conferences”. He would spend a good chunk of his time trying to find heads of companies and organizations and convince them to hold a conference in his building. Booking a conference in his building got his rooms filled for those days. He even made referral commissions off the overflow when he ran out of rooms for that day and booked it in someone else’s building. That’s what distinguishes a mediocre hotel operation from a superstar.
Conrad Hilton was a master at schmoozing corporate heads to get them to hold conferences in his buildings and only then did his brand take off, but he still books conferences. Same with Donald Trump.
If you’re not really good in sales and you don’t enjoy seeking out heads and managers of corporations and associations on a daily basis to book those “conferences”, go into apartment buildings, plazas or something else. This is really an active sales business and it’s a lot of work if you want to make those high cap rates. That’s your “unforseen event” that could cause your hotel/motel purchase to tank. It’s a different universe from owning apartment buildings, plazas, or buildings houses, etc. It’s not about getting into price wars with random travellers passing through the city looking for a room for the night.